Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:57:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price $150M (63.0%), $300M (39.0%), $500M (18.5%). The market has $245K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
$150M63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
$300M39.0%39.0¢61.0¢
$500M18.5%18.5¢81.5¢
$800M11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
$1B7.7%7.7¢92.3¢
$2B4.5%4.5¢95.5¢
$3B2.4%2.4¢97.7¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Sources

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