European Central Bank rate decision in October

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:42:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (97.0%), Hike 1-25bps (3.0%), Hike more than 25bps (2.0%). The market has $63K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Maintain current rate97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Hike 1-25bps3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Hike more than 25bps2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Cut more than 25bps1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Cut 1-25bps1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.