ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 10:23:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $20/MWh (55.0%), Above $30/MWh (51.0%), Above $65/MWh (43.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $20/MWh | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Above $30/MWh | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above $65/MWh | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Above $50/MWh | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above $100/MWh | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above $200/MWh | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $40/MWh | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $20/MWh:
If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT Houston Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 30, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Sources
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