China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:54:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1,400 million barrels (83.0%), Above 1,450 million barrels (61.0%), Above 1,500 million barrels (46.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Tue, 17 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1,400 million barrels | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 1,450 million barrels | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Above 1,500 million barrels | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Above 1,550 million barrels | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 1,600 million barrels | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1,400 million barrels:
If the U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that China’s strategic oil inventories for Q3 2026 were above 1,400 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the China value for Q3 2026 in Table 1, “Estimated Strategic Oil Inventories for Select Countries,” in EIA’s Global Energy Security Data. For this estimate, EIA includes both government-held and commercial inventories in China’s strategic oil inventories. The first value published by EIA for Q3 2026 will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Sources
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