Chile rate decision in December

As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:18:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (55.0%), Hike 1-25bps (28.0%), Hike more than 25bps (17.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 15 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Maintain current rate55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Hike 1-25bps28.0%28.0¢72.0¢
Hike more than 25bps17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Cut 1-25bps4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Cut more than 25bps4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:

If the Central Bank of Chile takes the action of maintain current rate at its December Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

Sources

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