Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 20:13:26 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (48.5%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $48K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources
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