Bank of Canada decision in December?

As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:46:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintains rate (60.0%), Hike 25bps (42.0%), Cut 25bps (2.0%). The market has $33K in volume and closes on Wed, 09 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Maintains rate60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
Hike 25bps42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
Cut 25bps2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Cut >25bps2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Hike >25bps2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintains rate:

If the Bank of Canada takes the action of maintain the current rate at its Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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