Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 01:22:18 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (65.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
Sources
Related markets
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- California Governor Election Winner
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.