Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?
As of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 20:19:10 UTC, Polymarket traders price $500M (70.0%), $800M (68.5%), $1B (63.0%). The market has $33K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $500M | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| $800M | 68.5% | 68.5¢ | 31.5¢ |
| $1B | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| $2B | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| $3B | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| $4B | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| $6B | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| $8B | 24.5% | 24.5¢ | 75.5¢ |
| $5B | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| $7B | 12.2% | 12.2¢ | 87.8¢ |
| $9B | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
| $15B | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| $10B | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| $20B | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $33K
- Liquidity: $46K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources
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