Amazon Credit Card Spend in October
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:28:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 94 (95.0%), Above 103 (68.0%), Above 106 (47.0%). The market has $73K in volume and closes on Sat, 14 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 94 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 103 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Above 106 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above 109 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 112 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above 115 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 118 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 139 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 130 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 121 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 148 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 157 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $73K
- Liquidity: $73K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 94:
If the Carbon Arc Amazon Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 94, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Amazon Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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