Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 81% (96.0%), Above 81.5% (95.0%), Above 82% (78.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Thu, 27 May 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 81%96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 81.5%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 82%78.0%78.0¢22.0¢
Above 82.5%55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Above 83%40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Above 83.5%33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
Above 84%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 84.5%14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Above 85%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 85.5%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 81%:

If Alaska Air Group Inc. reports Above 81% passenger load factor in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Alaska Air Group Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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