AI app downloads array index in October 2026
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:09:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 300 (99.0%), Above 350 (99.0%), Above 400 (99.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Sun, 15 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 300 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 350 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 400 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 450 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 500 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 550 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 600 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above 650 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 750 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 700 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 800 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 300:
If the Carbon Arc AI app downloads array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 300, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc AI Chat Apps Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month AI Chat Apps Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=7892a60d-ce75-4eba-98aa-460b93a4f33b. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok, weighted 25% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
Related markets
- Grubhub App Downloads in October
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay this year?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.