ADP employment change this month?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 22:34:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -25000 (96.0%), Above 0 (93.0%), Above 25000 (84.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25000 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 0 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 25000 | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Above 50000 | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Above 75000 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Above 100000 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above 125000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -25000:
If the ADP Employment Change in Nov 2026 is above -25000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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