Texas Senate winner?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 10:02:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price James Talarico (69.0%), Ken Paxton (32.0%). The market has $49.4M in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Ken Paxton | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Ken Paxton | Opinion | 50.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $49.4M
- Liquidity: $49.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for James Talarico:
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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