Arkansas Senate winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:16:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tom Cotton (95.0%), Hallie Shoffner (5.0%). The market has $258K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Tom Cotton95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Hallie Shoffner5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Tom Cotton:

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Arkansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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