Texas Senate winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:49:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price James Talarico (62.0%), Ken Paxton (39.0%). The market has $30.8M in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
James Talarico62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Ken Paxton39.0%39.0¢61.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for James Talarico:

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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