What will Mark Zuckerberg say during Meta Connect keynote?
As of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 23:29:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price Muse (100.0%), AI / Artificial Intelligence (100.0%), Metaverse (100.0%). The market has $50K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muse | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Metaverse | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Agent / Agentic | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Oakley | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Quest | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| VR / Virtual Reality | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Ray-Ban | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Privacy | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| Prada | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Llama | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Horizon | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Open Source | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $50K
- Liquidity: $50K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Muse:
If Mark Zuckerberg says Muse as part of Meta Connect keynote , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Meta Connect keynote using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Meta Connect keynote will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Mark Zuckerberg speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled…
Sources
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