Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average this year
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:32:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 80,000 jobs (98.0%), Above 81,000 jobs (97.0%), Above 82,000 jobs (96.0%). The market has $647K in volume and closes on Fri, 07 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80,000 jobs | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 81,000 jobs | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 82,000 jobs | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 83,000 jobs | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 84,000 jobs | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Above 85,000 jobs | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above 86,000 jobs | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 87,000 jobs | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 88,000 jobs | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 89,000 jobs | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 90,000 jobs | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 91,000 jobs | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 92,000 jobs | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $647K
- Liquidity: $647K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 80,000 jobs:
If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 80,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution.
Sources
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