7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.86% or above (85.0%), 4.88% or above (82.0%), 4.9% or above (80.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.86% or above85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
4.88% or above82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
4.9% or above80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
4.92% or above77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
4.94% or above74.0%74.0¢26.0¢
4.96% or above70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
4.98% or above66.0%66.0¢34.0¢
5% or above62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
5.02% or above57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
5.04% or above53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
5.06% or above49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
5.08% or above45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
5.1% or above42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
5.12% or above38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
5.14% or above34.0%34.0¢66.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.86% or above:

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Sources

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