7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026?
As of Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:13:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.06% or above (100.0%), 5.12% or above (99.0%), 5.08% or above (99.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.06% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 5.16% or above | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| 5.18% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 5.2% or above | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 5.22% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 5.24% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.28% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.26% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.3% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.34% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.32% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.12% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 7, 2026, or one week following Oct 7, 2026.
Sources
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