7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 16:43:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.01% or above (100.0%), 5.03% or above (99.0%), 5.05% or above (98.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.01% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.05% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 5.11% or above | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.21% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.23% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.25% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.27% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.29% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.07% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 1, 2026, or one week following Oct 1, 2026.
Sources
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