5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?
As of Fri, 25 Sep 2026 20:42:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.68% or above (100.0%), 4.72% or above (100.0%), 4.76% or above (100.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 25 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.68% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.84% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 25, 2026, or one week following Sep 25, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by end of month?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 29, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.