30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.31% or above (84.0%), 5.33% or above (81.0%), 5.35% or above (78.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.31% or above | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| 5.33% or above | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| 5.35% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 5.37% or above | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| 5.39% or above | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| 5.41% or above | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| 5.43% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 5.45% or above | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| 5.47% or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 5.49% or above | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| 5.51% or above | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| 5.53% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 5.55% or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 5.57% or above | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 5.59% or above | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.57% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.56% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
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