30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 23, 2026?

As of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:11:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.16% or above (100.0%), 5.34% or above (100.0%), 5.22% or above (100.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Wed, 23 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.16% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.34% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.22% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.26% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.32% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.24% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
5.2% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.28% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.18% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.3% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.36% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.38% or above96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
5.4% or above91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
5.42% or above12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
5.44% or above4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.4% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on Sep 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 23, 2026, or one week following Sep 23, 2026.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.