30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 8, 2026?
As of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 20:01:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.51% or above (100.0%), 5.69% or above (74.0%), 5.57% or above (65.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.51% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.69% or above | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| 5.57% or above | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| 5.65% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 5.67% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 5.59% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 5.61% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 5.63% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 5.53% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 5.55% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 5.79% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 5.71% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 5.73% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 5.77% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 5.75% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.51% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.50% on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 8, 2026, or one week following Oct 8, 2026.
Sources
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