2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:56:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.33% or above (100.0%), 4.35% or above (100.0%), 4.21% or above (100.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.33% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.35% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.21% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.29% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.49% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.23% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.25% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.39% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.47% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.51% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.27% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.31% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.37% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.41% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.43% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.71% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.
Sources
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