2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.76% or above (54.0%), 4.78% or above (49.0%), 4.8% or above (44.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.76% or above | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.76% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
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