2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 24, 2026?

As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:37:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.56% or above (100.0%), 4.58% or above (100.0%), 4.6% or above (100.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Thu, 24 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.56% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.58% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.6% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.62% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.64% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.66% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.68% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.7% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.72% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.74% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.76% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.78% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.8% or above97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
4.82% or above91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
4.84% or above79.0%79.0¢21.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.7% or above:

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Sep 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 24, 2026, or one week following Sep 24, 2026.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.