2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 23, 2026?

As of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:11:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.63% or above (100.0%), 4.67% or above (100.0%), 4.73% or above (100.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Wed, 23 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.63% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.67% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.73% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.69% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.71% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.75% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.77% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.79% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.65% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.61% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.81% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
4.83% or above94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
4.85% or above89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
4.87% or above77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
4.89% or above53.0%53.0¢47.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.91% or above:

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Sep 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 23, 2026, or one week following Sep 23, 2026.

Sources

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