2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026?
As of Tue, 06 Oct 2026 19:20:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.73% or above (99.0%), 4.75% or above (98.0%), 4.71% or above (88.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Tue, 06 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.73% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.71% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 6, 2026, or one week following Oct 6, 2026.
Sources
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