2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 25, 2026?

As of Fri, 25 Sep 2026 20:42:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.53% or above (100.0%), 4.57% or above (100.0%), 4.61% or above (100.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Fri, 25 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.53% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.57% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.61% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.69% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.73% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.51% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.55% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.59% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.63% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.67% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.71% or above100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
4.65% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.77% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.75% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
4.79% or above97.0%97.0¢3.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.83% or above:

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 25, 2026, or one week following Sep 25, 2026.

Sources

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