10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 19:11:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.05% or above (100.0%), 5.03% or above (100.0%), 5.09% or above (100.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Tue, 29 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.05% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.03% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.09% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.11% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.21% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.07% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.23% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.01% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.25% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 5.27% or above | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| 5.31% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.05% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 29, 2026, or one week following Sep 29, 2026.
Sources
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