10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 22, 2026?
As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 19:49:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.86% or above (100.0%), 4.9% or above (99.0%), 4.92% or above (99.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Tue, 22 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.86% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.94% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 22, 2026, or one week following Sep 22, 2026.
Sources
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