US Leading Economic Index change in October
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:34:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -0.4% (98.0%), Above 0.2% (64.0%), Above -0.1% (56.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 26 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.4% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 0.2% | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above -0.1% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Above 0.0% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above -0.3% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 0.1% | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above -0.2% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 0.3% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -0.4%:
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States. This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for October 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the October 2026 LEI. The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. This market does not refer to the LEI index level, its six-month change or diffusion index, the Coincident Economic Index, or the Lagging Economic Index.
Sources
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