Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:05:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tina Kotek (95.0%), Troy Jackson (83.0%), Kathy Hochul (45.0%). The market has $48K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Kotek | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Troy Jackson | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Kathy Hochul | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Angie Nixon | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Chris Pappas | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| David Jolly | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $48K
- Liquidity: $48K
- Closes:
Sources
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