Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 28, 2026
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 11:33:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 56,000 MW (97.0%), Above 56,500 MW (96.0%), Above 57,000 MW (88.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 56,000 MW | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 56,500 MW | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 57,000 MW | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 57,500 MW | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 58,000 MW | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 58,500 MW | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Above 59,000 MW | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 59,500 MW | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 60,000 MW | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 60,500 MW | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 61,000 MW | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Above 61,500 MW | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above 62,000 MW | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 62,500 MW | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above 63,000 MW | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 56,000 MW:
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 27, 2026 is above 56,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 27, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will US gas prices get this year?
- Gas prices in the US this month?
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get this year?
- Diesel prices this month
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.