What will Tesla say during the roadster event?
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 09:51:37 UTC, Kalshi traders price SpaceX (82.0%), Fly / Flying (78.0%), Cold Gas (74.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Fly / Flying | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Cold Gas | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Hover / Hovering | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Thruster / Rocket | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Carbon Fiber / Composite | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Grok | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Street Legal | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Full Self-Driving / FSD | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| TSLAMENTION | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| TSLAMENTION | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Wing / Spoiler | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Fan Car / Ducted Fan | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 620 Mile | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| One-Piece Seat / Monolithic Seat | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for SpaceX:
If any Tesla representative says SpaceX as part of Tesla roadster event originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Tesla roadster event originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Tesla roadster event originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). any Tesla representative speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other market…
Sources
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