TSA passenger screenings on Oct 28, 2026

As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:36:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1,800,000 passengers (96.0%), At least 1,900,000 passengers (96.0%), At least 2,000,000 passengers (95.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 1,800,000 passengers96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 1,900,000 passengers96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 2,000,000 passengers95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
At least 2,100,000 passengers62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
At least 2,300,000 passengers40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
At least 2,200,000 passengers24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
At least 2,500,000 passengers20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
At least 2,400,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 2,700,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 2,800,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 3,200,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 2,600,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 2,900,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 3,000,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
At least 3,100,000 passengers4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1,800,000 passengers:

If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on October 28, 2026 is at least 1,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nationwide checkpoint travel number reported on TSA’s Passenger Volumes page for the specified date, regardless of when it is published. The exact count is used without rounding. Only the first published value is used; later corrections and revisions are ignored. If publication is delayed, resolution waits for the specified date’s data, subject to the contract’s expiration and contingency provisions.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.