What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:52:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price Save America Act (91.0%), Sleepy Joe (79.0%), Cheat / Cheater / Cheating (76.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Save America Act91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Sleepy Joe79.0%79.0¢21.0¢
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
China / Chinese76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Barack Hussein Obama68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
ICE68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
Tariff (3+ times)67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
Nuclear (3+ times)66.0%66.0¢34.0¢
Kamala62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Supreme Court61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Iran (5+ times)56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Gulf of America56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Sanctuary55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Russia / Ukraine53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
France49.0%49.0¢51.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Save America Act:

If Donald Trump says Save America Act as part of midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the midterm rally in Lubbock, Texas originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resol…

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