What will Trump say during his rally in New York?

As of Sat, 10 Oct 2026 22:53:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hochul (100.0%), Dividend / Stimulus (100.0%), Barack Hussein Obama (100.0%). The market has $1.6M in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.

Updated: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 22:53:56 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Hochul	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Dividend / Stimulus	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Barack Hussein Obama	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Save America Act	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Micron	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
China / Chinese	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Transgender	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Fake News	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Sanctuary	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Sleepy Joe	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Israel / Israeli	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Russia / Ukraine	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating	100.0%	100.0¢	0.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $1.6M
Liquidity: $1.6M
Closes: Fri, 23 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hochul:

If Donald Trump says Hochul as part of Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes an…

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.