US trade deficit for 2026?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 170 billion (92.0%), 119.6 billion to 119.9 billion (7.0%), 120 billion to 139.9 billion (6.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Sat, 29 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 170 billion | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 119.6 billion to 119.9 billion | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 120 billion to 139.9 billion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 140 billion to 170 billion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 65 billion to 74.9 billion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 95 billion to 104.9 billion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 45 billion to 54.9 billion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 105 billion to 119.5 billion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 75 billion to 84.9 billion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 85 billion to 94.9 billion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below 45 billion | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 55 billion to 64.9 billion | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $15K
- Closes:
Sources
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