Temu Credit Card Spend in September

As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 15:11:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 96 (100.0%), Above 102 (99.0%), Above 106 (99.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 96100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Above 10299.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 10699.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 11099.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 11698.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 11398.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 1205.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 1264.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 1342.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 96:

If the Carbon Arc Temu Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 96, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Temu Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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