Tech layoff rate in September
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 13:43:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 0.8% (86.0%), Above 1.0% (77.0%), Above 1.2% (68.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.8% | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above 1.0% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Above 1.2% | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Above 1.4% | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Above 1.6% | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Above 1.8% | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 2.0% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Above 2.2% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 2.4% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 0.8%:
If the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry in September 2026 is greater than 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “tech layoffs” refers exclusively to the layoffs and discharges rate for the Information industry reported in FRED series JTU5100LDR. This is a monthly, not seasonally adjusted rate expressed as a percentage. The market will resolve using the first value published for the specified month; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Sources
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