Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 17:22:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.19 million (44.0%), 4.65 million (4.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.19 million44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
4.65 million4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.19 million:

If NYC subway ridership reaches a seven-day average of at least 4.19 riders before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The subway had an average daily ridership of 4.65 million persons in 2019.

Sources

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