US student loan debt at end of 2026
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 16:59:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $1.82 trillion (97.0%), Above $1.84 trillion (96.0%), Above $1.86 trillion (92.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 12 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1.82 trillion | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above $1.84 trillion | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above $1.86 trillion | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above $1.88 trillion | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Above $1.90 trillion | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above $1.92 trillion | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Above $1.94 trillion | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Above $1.96 trillion | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above $1.98 trillion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $1.82 trillion:
If the total U.S. student loans outstanding for 2026 Q4 is above $1.82 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit release, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Student Loans memo item in the Federal Reserve’s Student Loans and Motor Vehicle Loans historical table, reported in millions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted. For resolution, the reported value will be converted to trillions of dollars by dividing by 1,000,000.
Sources
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