US solar capacity installed in 2026
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 06:43:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 35 GWdc (98.0%), At least 40 GWdc (91.0%), At least 45 GWdc (69.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Wed, 31 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 35 GWdc | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 40 GWdc | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 45 GWdc | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 50 GWdc | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| At least 55 GWdc | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 35 GWdc:
If at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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