Iowa Republican Senate nominee in 2028?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 06:44:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Chuck Grassley (25.0%), Pat Grassley (12.0%), Randy Feenstra (10.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Chuck Grassley25.0%25.0¢75.0¢
Pat Grassley12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Randy Feenstra10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Zach Nunn10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Kim Reynolds9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Matt Whitaker9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Kari Lake6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Chuck Grassley:

If Chuck Grassley wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III Iowa Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. The nominee is the winner of the June 2028 Iowa Republican primary. If no candidate receives at least 35% of the primary vote, the nominee selected by the Republican state convention counts.

Sources

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