What will Obama say during his midterm rally in Ohio?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 21:11:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Trump (2+ times) (86.0%), Iran / Iranian (80.0%), Afford / Affordable / Affordability (80.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 07 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Trump (2+ times)86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Iran / Iranian80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Afford / Affordable / Affordability80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Democracy78.0%78.0¢22.0¢
Inflation76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Tax71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Healthcare71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Union / Unionize69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Immigration / Immigrant65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
ICE63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
Tariff62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Billionaire57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Vance57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
Ballroom / Pool52.0%52.0¢48.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Trump (2+ times):

If Barack Obama says Trump (2+ times) as part of the Fighting for Ohio Rally with President Barack Obama in Cleveland, Ohio, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the the Fighting for Ohio Rally with President Barack Obama in Cleveland, Ohio, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the the Fighting for Ohio Rally with President Barack Obama in Cleveland, Ohio, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Barack Obama speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payou…

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