Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 21:18:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 170 million (76.0%), Above 175 million (30.0%), Above 180 million (19.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Apr 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 170 million76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 175 million30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Above 180 million19.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Above 185 million17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Above 190 million5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 170 million:

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 170 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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