How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

As of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 20:11:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1 (55.0%), At least 2 (44.0%), At least 3 (27.0%). The market has $89K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 155.0%55.0¢45.0¢
At least 244.0%44.0¢56.0¢
At least 327.0%27.0¢73.0¢
At least 818.0%18.0¢82.0¢
At least 1312.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 235.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1:

If New York City has less than 122 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

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